Seattle Bubble Forum Highlights
There are lots of great conversations going on over at the Seattle Bubble Forums, why don't you join in too? Here's a sampling of what's going on over there:
- Alan offers some perspective on half-million-dollar homes.
- A couple of threads toss out predictions for 2007
- Matthew points out that stocks may be headed for a big fall.
- Shack asks how long would it take for a flatlined market to return to "normal?"
5 comments:
bubble media denial recap.
Hilarious.
Just a shameless plug for anyone who is interested.
Institute for Economic Reality issues a CRASH-CON 3 alert.
We now return you to your regularly scheduled "what, me worry?" lifestyle.
Somebody call an ambulance.
CNBC just ran a 5 minute piece where they bitch-slapped the notion that real estate is healty all up and down the dial.
I have it on the DVR.
Among some of the points they made:
Sub-prime delinqencies are at 22%. Ponder that for a minute. Better than 1/5 of all the subprime are behind in their payments.
non-sub-prime delinquencies are at '01/'02 recession levels (remember, this is a "GOOD" economy)
The delinquencies are almost all in the ARMs. (Duh!)
Homebuilde cancellations are north of 40% (yowzer!) Can anyone imagine running a business where you only get paid on 60% of your production (Intel?)
Hidden inventories - relisting, builder cancellations are NOT counted as inventory, yet inventory is still at a recent high.
They were still somewhat bullish and said the "outlook was:
work off inventory in '07-'08. Dream on. Inventory will build as panic sets in.
reset ARMs through '09. OK, we have only just expierienced the very, very leading edge of ARM resets. If this much pain comes from this little, imagine what it is going to be like in 3 years.
Work off foreclosures in '08. Again, this assumes a static model and an increasing market. Foreclosures will be as ubiquitous as SUVs and Starbucks retailers.
They never addressed if the "bird flu" of sub-prime finance will spread to prime finance.
Still, this is the most responsible bit of journalism that CNBC has done in the entire time I have been familiar with their spew.
HAVE YOU BLOGGERS GOT YOUR KING/SNOHOMISH/PIERCE PROPERTY TAX STATEMENT INCREASE YET?
A friend of mine, who lives in Snohomish County APPEALED his increase. Not only did he win the appeal, they paid him retroactive over payment of back taxes. A tidy $7000 check, not bad at all.
If you think you'll get one penny more for your "0% to -0.5% average price decrease in King County [Nov 2005-Nov 2006 data], i.e., home, if the property tax statement is higher, WHAT ARE YOU SMOKING?
Me thinks the Elite Globalist local "powers to be" are planning more OVERPOPULATION school budgets in the Seattle area and we're the sacrificial lamb MIDDLE CLASS, i.e., PAYEES for ILLEGAL PROPERTY TAX INCREASES in the Seattle area.
See a lot of you in property tax appeals court :-)
somehow I think the forums and lack of open threads is making it more difficult for me at least to follow an interesting discussion... and fewer people have posted in the forum than a day on the open thread...
Might I suggest a front page (in the forum) highlighting the day's most active threads?
either that or the open thread back again...
my 2 cents...
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